Game Preview: SMU vs. Penn State in the College Football Playoff
As the college football season heats up, the highly anticipated matchup between the 11th-seeded SMU Mustangs and the 6th-seeded Penn State Nittany Lions is just around the corner. Here are some key points to consider as these two teams clash in the first round of the College Football Playoff.
Matchup and Location
- Matchup: SMU Mustangs vs. Penn State Nittany Lions in the College Football Playoff first round.
- Location: Beaver Stadium, Happy Valley, Pennsylvania.
- Date and Time: Saturday, December 21, 2024, at Noon ET.
Betting Odds
- Spread: SMU +8.5 (-108), Penn State -8.5 (-112)[3].
- Moneyline: SMU +261, Penn State -326[1].
- Total: 54 points (Over -111, Under -113)[3].
Key Points to Watch
Penn State’s Defensive Line
The Penn State defensive line, spearheaded by defensive end Abdul Carter, is expected to be a significant factor in this game. “The Penn State defensive line should flush SMU quarterback Kevin Jennings out of the pocket and cause havoc in the backfield that can stunt drives,” which could severely impact SMU’s offense[4].
SMU’s Defensive Strengths and Weaknesses
SMU’s defense has shown remarkable strength against the run but remains vulnerable in the passing game. “The Mustangs’ defense has been elite against the run all season, top five in EPA/Rush, but this is an elite and diverse Penn State attack,” which could exploit these weaknesses[2].
Penn State’s Offense
Penn State boasts a strong run game and an improving passing game, led by quarterback Drew Allar. “With a successful run game, I believe that can set up timely deep shots for Allar and the Nittany Lions, who should be able to find holes in the SMU secondary,” making their offense a formidable force[4].
SMU’s Turnover Issues
SMU has struggled with turnovers this season, particularly with fumbles. “SMU has had major turnover issues, with 12 lost fumbles and nine interceptions, which could swing the game in Penn State’s favor if they can capitalize on these mistakes,” highlighting a critical area where Penn State might gain an advantage[4].
Kicking Game Inconsistencies
SMU’s kicking game has been inconsistent, with kicker Collin Rogers missing kicks in eight different games. “SMU kicker Collin Rogers has had a rough season, which could lead to decision-making challenges on fourth down and impact the game’s outcome,” adding another layer of uncertainty for the Mustangs[4].
Final Score Prediction
Given the strengths and weaknesses of both teams, the prediction leans towards Penn State. “Penn State is a cut above SMU and should be able to take control of this one from the jump at home,” with a predicted final score of Penn State 34, SMU 21[1].
